07 August 2015

Giraffe's Cafe - An Expose on LizardoRealm

GiraffeValue recently published on his blog a collection of 55 SG Financial Blogs. Seems my blog made it onto his list.

He subsequently got in touch to further conduct a virtual interview. "Lim kopi" as one might say. Here it is, republished.




[Republished, with permission]

Lizardo - Giraffe's Coffee

My guest for today is Lizardo from http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg, he has been blogging for about 5 years on topic such as ETF, Unit Trust and stocks. I like the most is where he looks at them in a portfolio perspective rather than an individual investment.
Let’s see what he has for us.
GV:
Hey Lizardo maybe you can start by giving us a brief introduction about yourself? I.e your major, profession, age and other things you would like to add.
Lizardo:
I am a working professional with a few graduate and postgraduate degrees(Computer Science). I’ve been working for 24 years and nearing the big “50”. I started investing with some seriousness only 10 years ago, and started buying individual stocks in the midst of the Global Financial Crisis. Lucky timing!
I’ve been running some what-if analysis and certain models would suggest I could choose to semi-retire next year. But we’ll see. As a single income family, there are many risks to consider.
GV:
I see that you have a World Cup Team(stock portfolio) consist of SG dividend stocks and overseas stocks, and you have also invested in ETF, and unit trust. Could you tell us what is your portfolio consist of, and the breakdown of its asset allocation?
Lizardo:
My Singapore and US teams of stocks are indicative of what I’m invested into. Broadly, my asset allocation is a spread of:
[a] 45% Singapore stocks
[b] 11.5% in US stocks
[c] 11.5% each in European, Asia-Pacific (ex-Japan) and Global Emerging Markets using ETFs/UnitTrust
[d] 4% in Japan ETF/UnitTrust and [e] the balance in cash, preference shares and bonds.
I have a high risk appetite as I view my CPF as the bond component of my portfolio. The Unit Trusts are primarily invested using SRS and CPF-OA funds.
I maintain a few separate portfolios for my two kids’ education funds, and for my wife. Collectively, the total valuation for my family has exceeded $1 million. The gradual accumulation over the years has given me a lot of confidence that investing is definitely the way to go to build a retirement fund.
Keeping cash in the bank and fixed deposits is definitely not the way to go.
GV:
let say that there is a reader who is out there who only has 6hrs per week to spare for stock investing. He wants to build a portfolio that can generate dividend for him, holding period 3-5 years. What are the 10 stocks that you would introduce to him right now, and how would you build the portfolio i.e no. of stock, stocks criteria, DCA or lump sum purchase and etc?
Lizardo:
With a holding period of 3-5 years, I suspect it will require more attention and time. I’m a long term investor myself and I tend towards holding stocks ‘forever’. For this, 6 hrs a week sounds about right for me, possibly less. A lot more time would be spent reading up and gaining appreciation about investing initially.
I would recommend that the investor consider his/her risk appetite and purpose for such an investment. It is only with that understanding that he/she can make the right choices that he/she can sleep peacefully come rain or shine. Instead of jumping into individual stocks, I would recommend someone who is just starting out to try a diversified portfolio across market regions using either Unit Trust or ETF for a start. And then to go into buying individual stocks when the portfolio has reached some critical size – perhaps when more than $100K.
For a suggestion on the 10 stocks, he/she could consider my team of 11 players for some ideas. As a value investor, I recommend however to keep those on watch and buy only when the price is right – esp. a reasonable margin of safety. Buying when the P/E is above 20 is unlikely to be ever a good idea.
Perhaps the top few that would be most interesting to me now would be OCBC, Keppel, M1, Boustead, Kingsmen, VICOM, HourGlass and GKGoh. Many of these have some interesting challenges that would suggest room for caution and doubt today. But it is precisely in circumstances like this that the best opportunities are created. It is the future that we seek, the past is only a history. In any case, every one of them is a dividend paying stock and hence provide some ‘insurance’ while we wait for their growth.
GV:
I see that you also blog quite a fair bit on your experience in unit trust. As you know, in our personal finance and investing blogosphere many have encouraged the use of ETF over unit trust, because of its lower cost and etc… What are some of the things that many have missed out, or things that you see and others don’t.
Lizardo:
I think the advice on ETF over Unit Trust is the right one. However, unlike Unit Trust where one can buy and sell anytime, it is less so in the case of ETF. For many ETF (the exceptions are the STI ETFs), I have found it difficult to buy, and would suspect the problem would be even worse when trying to sell, especially if there is a market situation developing. Also, given the charges, it makes sense to go ETF only if buying in larger quantity. Hence, for an early investor (as I was when I started almost 10 years ago), it was more convenient to go with Unit Trust.
The ETF markets in the US is a lot more liquid. But it comes with the penalty of the 30% withholding tax (especially on the dividends paid out), and there is potential issue over inheritance that I do not yet confess to fully comprehend due to US laws. Unnecessary complexities.
[Although there are theoretically market makers for the ETFs, I find that the bid-ask spread can be very wide. I don't get a sense that the liquidity is really there for me to buy/sell easily for the less popular ETFs.]
GV:
What are the most common mistakes you often see people make on investment?
Lizardo:
I think the mistakes are:
[a] not knowing what one is trying to invest for (what’s the time horizon?)
[b] attempting to make quick bucks by trading actively, jumping in and out
[d] attributing luck to skill,
[e] listening to others (noise) without doing an analysis
[f] looking for excitement from investing!
GV: Alright, now come to the last question. What are the tools or webs you use for investing and any financial web you frequently visit to source for information?
Lizardo:
– Key websites that I read are on my home page. Especially: NextInsight, ValueBuddies, Finance.sg, Business Times, Motley Fool Singapore.
– Key newspapers/magazines: The Edge, Business Times Weekend, Fortune.
– Key online resource/tool: POEMS, Fundsupermart, and my own Excel spreadsheets.

Something that I have never considered of when looking at Unit Trust,  on the response from Lizardo liquidity is one big issue.  Of course one can still go for US ETFs which are more liquid but the withholding tax makes it unattractive and not to mention about the legal complexity.
Of course for withholding tax issue say on S&P500 one can go for VUSD which does not have a withholding tax on dividend(as it will be taxed at 15% before the divided is paid out) as compared to the US version of S&P which has a hefty 30% withholding tax on dividend.

What is the inflation rate for Singapore? [reposted]

I was doing some analysis of my investment portfolio to assess how close I was to being financially independent, and started doing some "what-if" of the various planning parameters assumed. One of the important factor was the future "inflation rate".

I've always worked under the impression that 3% was a reasonable number to use, and I wondered how realistic that was? Tweaking the figures between 2% and 4% showed dramatically drastic impacts. It is clearly a very sensitive parameter - i.e. small changes would cause disproportionate outcomes.

I came across one article (http://www.tradingeconomics.com/singapore/inflation-cpi) which mentioned that the average was 2.75% (from 1962 to 2015).

Checking against the Department of Statistics data (http://www.singstat.gov.sg/statistics/browse-by-theme/prices), I obtained the following:

Table 1. Time Series on CPI (2014=100) and Inflation Rate (as at Feb 2015)
Year Consumer Price Index (2014=100) Annual Inflation rate
1980 50.6 8.5
1981 54.7 8.2
1982 56.9 3.9
1983 57.4 1.0
1984 58.9 2.6
1985 59.2 0.5
1986 58.4 -1.4
1987 58.7 0.5
1988 59.6 1.5
1989 61.0 2.3
1990 63.1 3.5
1991 65.2 3.4
1992 66.7 2.2
1993 68.2 2.3
1994 70.3 3.1
1995 71.5 1.7
1996 72.5 1.4
1997 74.0 2.0
1998 73.8 -0.3
1999 73.8 0.0
2000 74.8 1.3
2001 75.6 1.0
2002 75.3 -0.4
2003 75.6 0.5
2004 76.9 1.7
2005 77.3 0.5
2006 78.0 1.0
2007 79.7 2.1
2008 84.9 6.6
2009 85.4 0.6
2010 87.8 2.8
2011 92.5 5.2
2012 96.7 4.6
2013 99.0 2.4
2014 100.0 1.0



Based on the more recent 35 years of history, it seems to average only 2.22%.

Given this, I will revise to 2.5% as my planning norm, and to use 3% only to test the worst-case scenario. Using too high a figure may be unnecessarily inflating the extent needed from my investment portfolio, and inevitably postponing my FIRE. *hmm*

Can I retire now?

--
For an alternate view on this subject:
Bully the Bear's take on personal inflation

I recall having a bowl of Mee Pok Dry at $1.50 in 1980. Today, a typical bowl would cost $3 to $4. That correlates reasonably with the doubling from the above inflation data.

Of course, there are also other data points that could suggest otherwise - e.g. housing.

If you're looking for a less expensive bowl of Mee Pok Dry, it's still possible to do so at certain places. Here's one from a coffee shop in Teck Whye.


05 August 2015

Pulau Ubin - An Island Escapade / 3D Coffee

It's the Golden Jubilee Weekend. Lots of places are free. I guess there will be maddening crowds everywhere. But perhaps that is part of the fun? Already, the office is starting to thin out. Some have taken the opportunity to travel over the long weekend.

One place you may want to consider without actually leaving the country is a short excursion to an island escapade. And no, I'm not talking about Sentosa Island. An inexpensive bumboat ride from Changi Point will bring one to Pulau Ubin, just a stone throw away. It's just $2.50 per person, one way. Ok, got to throw the stone very hard to get there. The only bummer was having to wait for a sizable group before the boatman would depart. It's a pretty random experience. But no regrets. we were greeted by this wonderful view upon landing at Pulau Ubin. Doesn't look like Singapore isn't it? But it is.


Kind of reminded me of Tanah Lot in Bali. Pretty tranquil and peaceful. It was a weekday when I went. So there was minimal crowd on the island.

There are some "taxi" services available at the pier and the drivers would be happy to bring you to Chek Jawa. Look for the vans.

My wife and I went trekking to the eastern side of the island. It's quite a long walk. But we were pretty happy for the exercise.

Coconut trees are in abundance, as were durian trees that were also in season. We hunted around, hoping for a lucky catch. But guess it wasn't our day.




The lotus pond was quite a sight. It's quite a common scene that can be found at some of the mainland parks these days. But this pond is BIG. I presume it's wild.







We reached Chek Jawa, and had a pleasant walk along the boardwalk. Fortunately, the weather was cloudy and wasn't too hot that day.

A couple of herons were sunbathing along the mud flats. An iguana was trying its luck for a birdy lunch. It wasn't successful though. Guess it went hungry.






Staring harder, we realised there were lots of strange looking crabs on the mud flats. They have only one big arm - tok-kong. One-arm robbers scurrying around. They are really tiny!


There seems to be only one public toilet available at this end of the island, and it's located at this house which doubles up as a museum.

The tap water is not for drinking though. So if you're looking to top up your water bottle, you're out of luck. There is a soft drink dispenser machine at the back of the house.


At this point, we struck jackpot as we came across something that we had hoped to see. Wild boar! There was a family of wild boar which came roaming around at the junction leading to this museum and the Chek Jawa mudflats.

They seemed pretty used to the presence of human. But to be on the safe side, we kept our distance.


So how about it? An overseas trip without leaving the country. Pack a meal from Changi Hawker Centre and enjoy a picnic on Pulau Ubin. Or go cycling if you prefer.


p/s: Along the row of shop houses at Changi Point, you may want to give this coffee place a go - Choc Full of Beans. It's located at the corner, near the bus interchange, facing the main road. The iced gourmet coffee comes beautified with these cute 3D foam characters. So cute, couldn't bear to drink. A good chill after a sweaty morning. Enjoy!



Happy SG50!


30 July 2015

A Taxi Driver Who is Far Richer Than I Am

Drained and tired after a day of non-stop brain work, I was feeling really exhausted. As I waited for a taxi, a fellow colleague appeared, queuing behind me. She said, "So late?"

I paused as I contemplated how to answer her. I was thinking, so was she. But I could only utter a "Huh?" Told you I was tired.

She went on to say, "If we're leaving when the sun is already down, it's late." Couldn't agree more with her definition. I nodded in agreement. We managed to flag down our taxis soon after.

It turned out to be yet another interesting taxi journey. I recognised the driver by his voice. I was pretty sure I had taken his taxi before. When I mentioned this, the driver said enthusiastically, "Yes, I recognised you too!"

With most taxi drivers, they were usually (a) the silent type, (b) the chatty type who talks about anything under the sun, or (c) the anti-PAP type. This gentleman was the chatty type.

He volunteered that he was emigrating to Australia next month. Curious, I asked how much did he need to emigrate. His answer was a cool $5 million, and went on to add that he had $20 million. I was dumbstruck!

"If you have that much money, why are you still driving a taxi?"

"I'm just hardworking." He chuckled in reply. Seems he owned four properties and was collecting rental from three of them. He was a former Forex trader and had made quite a bundle. With more than enough money, he was looking forward to enjoying an easy life in Australia. He had bought a plot of land in Melbourne and was planning to do some farming. That didn't quite sound like an easy life to me. I'm more sedate I guess.

His two kids were grown up and already working. They would be joining him in Australia as well. I wished him well. Guess I am not likely to take his taxi again.

WTF, with $20 million, who needs to work? If I had only one-tenth of that, I would have happily retired. WTF. Ok, I'm obviously envious. I should have asked if he wanted to adopt a godson.

$20 million at 4% would have reaped $800,000 a year in perpetuity. That's tons more than I earn a year. It's enough passive income to buy a new house every other year, even by Singapore standard. It could also fund a retirement for somebody every year. That's a lot of zeroes. WTF.

For another taxi ride story:
Condo, wife, kids and a taxi

29 July 2015

Supplementary Retirement Scheme - No Need to Liquidate Anymore

Looks like there is no longer a need to liquidate SRS investments during withdrawal. I suppose this means shares and unit trusts can simply be transferred out. The 50% taxable amount will be based on the valuation at the point of transfer.

That means we wouldn't have to cash out and then reinvest, suffering from double payment of transaction fees. It's a good policy change. More cost avoidance for the retirement investor. That can only be a good thing.

See the official MOF website announcement:
http://www.mof.gov.sg/MOF-For/Individuals/Supplementary-Retirement-Scheme-SRS

Related:
SRS - One way to avoid paying more tax
Maximising returns with minimal risks
SRS Booklet - summarised version (from MOF website)

17 July 2015

The Best Entertainment is Free

In recent weeks, we have been given the opportunity to experience uniquely free entertainment. Many have taken advantage of these.

It usually cost quite a bomb to get tickets to an airshow, such as the bi-annual Singapore Airshow, to witness high performance aircraft carrying out flying displays. But at the ongoing National Day Parade rehearsals taking place each Saturday evenings, we are getting it for free.

50 aircraft, ranging from helicopters to fighters, fly in tight formations over the Marina Bay each weekend. The full array of the RSAF is on display. It is quite impressive. As the aircraft fly over Marina Bay Sands in the evening hours of the setting sun, the view is simply majestic.


Likewise, it is only at theme parks that we might get some hope of seeing a fireworks display here in Singapore. But at the same NDP rehearsals, it's fireworks extravaganza. The cacophony of streaking streams of lights, exploding into colourful spectra of fireworks is a sight to behold. If only we had the music that is meant to go along with it.


Take a MRT train down to Raffles Place Station and stroll across the underpass at Fullerton Hotel to One Fullerton. It's a short and pleasant walk. Any spot along this strange is a great spot to watch everything as they unfold.

For those who prefer, there are also numerous waterfront restaurants for gastronomical delights. An outdoor seat is really a great choice. Enjoy a wonderful meal while enjoying the spectacle as it unfolds. As the sun sets, the reflections off Marina Bay Sands changes in tones. This gets even more magical during the fireworks!

If you want to experience the "shock" effect of the 21-gun salute, hang around in front of the Merlion. The gun battery sails in to the bay on their float bridge/pontoons (M3G) and positions itself there. Trust me, when they fire, it's quite a shock effect. The audience gets a kick to see the "O" shaped smoke formed whenever the guns fire.
[Warning: Not suitable for the little ones as they may get frightened!]


The flypasts take place between 6pm till 7pm. The fireworks appear in surprising spurts between 7pm and 8pm, with the grand finale sometime between 8pm and 8.30pm.

Check out the NDP Rehearsals schedule and do take note of the road closures.

My pick for the SG50 event of the year. Have fun!



In Times of Fear, How Did You React?

In recent weeks, there was much hoolaboolah with the Greek debts as they danced around the European partners, and the collapsing China share markets as the unwinding unfolded. These were accompanied by a fear of contagion of the deadly MERS virus in the region following the spread in South Korea.

The Singapore stock exchange saw some downwards movement, but never quite breached the 10% mark. At the individual stock level, most were in trend with this. Cries of a correction and bear market could be heard. At our Singapore Zoo however, our bear was flat out and enjoyed his snooze.


So what did you do during this period? Did you sell? Did you buy? Did you do nothing?

If you sold, was it because of the fear of further losses with the collapse in 2008 fresh on your mind? Did you then suffer regrets when the same stock you sold started rising again? It seems like every time you sell, it was at the lowest point?

If you bought, did you experience worries when the stock continued diving? Or did you experience glee when that happened and continued to buy more?

If you did nothing, was it because you were gripped by fear and uncertainty. You felt a sense of "I did the right thing" when you saw the stock continued to slide, and then felt a sense of "Damn, missed an opportunity" when you saw the stock climb?

The behaviour during this interesting period sheds interesting insights about the kind of investor we are. It probably helps to understand whether one is a speculator whose mood peaks and troughs with the market barometer, or is one a value investor who looks for opportunity and continues to focus on the company and its business rather than how the market is reacting.

The wider market is just a voting machine. Does it matter if the stock price goes down whereas the business continues to generate profit, experience positive cash flow, gives out dividends below its earnings, and maintains a rising trend of dividends? Or a proven management team that has proven itself over time and doesn't over reward itself, a business that can face off competition and dominates its segment, a business that provides products and services that remains relevant now and moving forward, insiders who continue to hold and buy their own stock; those are many other factors that give us greater confidence on the viability of a business.

For me, it's been a buyer's galore these past weeks. All that I need is a lot of cash. Lots.


18 June 2015

Insurance, Credit Cards and Investments

Mirror, mirror, on the wall
Who's the best of them all?

In the good old days before the digital age, information was such a premium. We were so dependent on information sources - i.e. brokers and agents. Information was power.

In these days of the Internet age, more and more information are increasingly made available online. In the words of Thomas Friedman, "The World is Flat". Information is now at our finger tips. Welcome to Dot.Com Part II. Can I use the term "Big Data" now? Such a cliche. All we now need is to have access to the net. Totally helpless otherwise.

Of particular value has been the appearance of aggregation platforms. Anything from merchandising of unit trust, to credit cards, to insurance. With the information galore, the humble retail investor like you and I can now compare and make personal choices. It does not guarantee that the right choices would be made - that's a separate problem.

Here's a list of some of these:

Fundsupermart. Unit trust and bonds.

WeInvest. Fixed deposits, mutual funds (i.e. unit trust) and real estates.

CompareFirst. Insurance policies.

Get.com. Credit cards.

EnjoyCompare. Credit cards, loans, travel and car insurance, broadband.

More are sprouting up. It can only be good, so long as they are legitimate businesses and information portals. I'm not guaranteeing these to be reliable in any way. So, use at your own risk please.

Now, can Watson figure out which packages make sense for me?

15 June 2015

24 Tales in the Journey to Wealth

RETIREMENT

"Financial Independence, Retire Early" (FIRE) - that seems like a wonderful catch phrase to set the flames going. What does it take to achieve this burning desire? I think it boils down to a magic number.
[1. http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg/2015/05/light-fire-can-i-retire-now.html]


STOCKS

To achieve this outcome, I invest in the market, diversified across market regions, namely Asia Pacific (except Japan), global emerging markets, the US, Europe and Japan. 

Unit Trust.
I use funds from the Supplementary Retirement Scheme (SRS) and CPF OA and SA funds to invest into Unit Trust on the Fundsupermart platform. Since each year I can contribute up to to $12,750 into SRS, that is the capital injection that goes into this portfolio. This unit trust portfolio is further complemented by ETFs. Fees in Unit Trusts are relatively higher compared to ETFs, but the latter tends to be less liquid.

Singapore Stocks.
A value investment approach in dividend paying stocks can be most rewarding. I diversify across the Singapore stock market by buying a dozen stocks (or two!) to spread the risks. The wonderful part of this is that I can happily collect dividends to reinvest while waiting as well. Of late, the dividends can run into an average of $1,000 a month. This will be the means by which I intend to generate the eventual passive income for retirement. The dividends would have been more, except that I typically take up the script offer (i.e. collect more units of stocks in lieu of cash), so as to continue to build up my portfolio, and at a discount from the market value.
[2. http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg/2015/04/my-singapore-team-of-dividend-stocks.html]

US Stocks.
Likewise, for US stocks. I invest through POEMS which hold the US stocks as a custodian account. US stocks (if you pick carefully!) have a practice of steady dividend growth. So even if you do nothing, the dividends tend to hold stead or growth with each passing year. The only problem is the 30% withholding tax on the dividends. The custodian fee that POEMS charge is quite minimal really, so that I can live with.
[3. http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg/2015/06/my-us-team-of-dividend-stocks-2015.]

Exchange Traded Funds (ETF).
Since I already hold diversified portfolios of Singapore and US stocks, the rest of the market regions are held via ETF, which complements the Unit Trust portfolio mentioned earlier. I prefer to hold ETFs that pay out dividends - or what I refer to as an Income ETF Portfolio.

BONDS

The stock portfolios are complemented by bonds and cash. While my plan was to maintain only 10% in bonds and cash (or bond-like instruments), it has typically reached 20%. In addition, I maintain 6 to 9 months worth of expenses in cash instruments.

Preference Shares and Retail Bonds
These can be bought off the SGX. The coupon payments, usually half-yearly, provides yet another income stream.
[5. http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg/2015/01/non-convertible-preference-shares.]

Bondsupermart.
More recently, a wider spread of bonds can also be bought through Fundsupermart. Aside from the few retail bonds, the majority will require hefty $250,000+ investments. Something beyond my reach and need for now, so it's something to keep in view as a future option. As an income stream, perpetual bonds can be quite attractive.
[6. http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg/2015/05/bondsupermart.html]

Singapore Savings Bond.
This offering from the Singapore Government will be available to retail investor soon. While not a inflation-linked bond, it has some semblance of it. I will most certainly park some of my cash components here. That will serve as an emergency buffer that can be cashed out if needed.
[7. http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg/2015/04/singapore-savings-bond-as-safe-as-it.html]

Central Provident Fund (CPF).
The compulsory savings into CPF actually is another bond component, offering steady and fairly risk-free growth. The only problem is the lock-in. The lock-in becomes less of a worry for someone like me who is reaching the half-century mark. CPF funds has serveed many useful purposes thus far, especially to fund housing (used), support the kids' education (an option not yet used), or invested into stock or unit trust funds if I prefer to take more risks.
[8. http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg/2015/02/a-great-retirement-offer-from-cpf.html]

Bank Savings Accounts.
Even the traditional banks can offer interesting saving accounts with higher interest rates. But a bit of acrobatics need to be done. This is the other component of my cash funds.
[9. http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg/2015/06/how-can-we-stretch-interest-on-our-bank.html]

MAXIMISING SAVINGS, REDUCING EXPENSES

Even as the investment portfolios are being built up, it is also worthwhile to examine options to reduce 'leakages'.

Supplementary Retirement Scheme (SRS).
Taxation is such a killer, especially at higher incomes. One sure way to reduce the tax burden is to contribute to the SRS (and invest the money sitting in SRS!).
[10. http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg/2015/02/one-way-to-avoid-paying-more-tax-srs.html]

Donations.
And if you have a charitable heart, donation is another way of reducing the tax burden while doing some good deeds.
[11. http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg/2015/02/another-way-to-avoid-paying-more-tax.html]

Credit Cards.
Some people view credit cards as an evil thing. But used wisely, it can actually help reduce our expenses.
[12. http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg/2015/06/4-credit-cards-with-great-cashbacks-and.html]

EXOTICS & ALTERNATIVES

There are many exotic options and alternatives to grow that investment pie. But be very careful! Perhaps, it suffices to keep things simple.

Crowdfunding.
A recent trend has been the growth of crowd-funding platforms. These have arrived on our shores, offering the lure of 12% returns or more. In reality, they are even more risky than junk bonds. I am keeping this in view for now.
[13. http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg/2015/02/moolahsense-embarks-on-new-fundraising.html]

Starting a Business.
This requires more careful considerations. I'm not quite ready for that leap.
[14. http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg/2015/01/running-cafes-as-business-owner.html]

Inheritance.
One could wait for an inheritance, if there is any to be had! But I wouldn't bet on this.
[15. http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg/2014/12/20-years-and-200000-mothers-savings.html]

Exciting Bank Offers.
This is an oxymoron. With the exception of the aforementioned special savings accounts, what can they offer that can do better than all the self-help options mentioned earlier given their exorbitant charges?
[16. http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg/2015/05/a-fantastic-investment-deal-at-bank-or.html]

STAY HEALTHY

Be Healthy.
Most importantly, is to stay healthy. What's the point of an early retirement, if one is in bade health? Or worse, expired early!
[17. http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg/2014/07/investing-and-dieting-wealth-and-health.html]

Medical Insurance.
But we can never be certain of good health. So medical insurance is a must in my view. Without this, all the savings and investments can be easily wiped out in no time. Sometimes, we really have to spend money to save money.
[18. http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg/2015/04/thank-goodness-we-had-medical-insurance.html]

Staying Healthy on Cruise.
One can still enjoy life, even while on a food binge on a cruise. It's not that difficulty to stay healthy, really.
[19. http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg/2015/04/not-too-difficult-to-stay-healthy-on.html]

ANTHOLOGY OF DISASTERS

Con Jobs.
These are just plentiful and are happening everyday. Always worth repeating the mantra, "if it sounds too good to be true, it probably is too good to be true". Greed is our greatest enemy. And the enemy is that person in the mirror.
[20. http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg/2015/05/rags-to-riches-riches-to-rags.html]
[21. http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg/2015/02/the-allure-of-gold-treachery-of-glitter.html]

Job Loss.
This can really be painful and disastrous. A family unit that has multiple wage earner helps diversify the risk. But for the single-income family, there really isn't any room. Best to move on and deal with the realities.
[22. http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg/2015/05/what-do-you-do-if-you-get-laid-off.html]

Extravagance.
A lifestyle of living beyond one's means is a sure road to disaster. Live within your means. What you can't save isn't yours.
[23. http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg/2015/05/a-millionaire-and-yet-completely-broke.html]

Careless Decisions.
Sometimes, we will make bad decisions and lose money. Hopefully, this doesn't happen too often and too painfully.
[24. http://lizardorealm.blogspot.sg/2015/06/sumiko-tans-money-no-enough.html]

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"Good health, great wealth!"
Or should it be, "Good wealth, great health!"

10 June 2015

Sumiko Tan's "Money No Enough"

Among the journalists whose articles I greatly enjoy reading in The Sunday Times are Sumiko Tan and Teh Hooi Ling. I've always found Sumiko's reflections and musings of her everyday life amusing, and Hooi Ling's financial commentaries insightful. Alas, Hooi Ling had left the papers and gone into fund management as the Head of Research and Executive Director at Aggregate Asset Management. A loss for the public, but great for her.

Anyway, seems Sumiko Tan really wasted her money. Poor thing. She got a really raw deal for a "retirement" plan that would have given paltry returns of 2.38%, and then decided not to go ahead with it only after the "free look period" had past. Oh dear.

Source: The Sunday Times, 7 Jun 2015.

Doesn't look like she is ready for her retirement either, although she did mention she has some insurance and shares. I hope those are enough for her retirement. Her lifestyle shouldn't have been that expensive given that she has no children and she married really, really late.

I think she needs to make friends with Teh Hooi Ling. *grin* Wishing her all the best regardless.

Related:
Light the FIRE! Can I retire now?
Golden Harvests for Golden Years



07 June 2015

My US Team of Dividend Stocks 2015

Like my Singapore Team (of dividend stocks), Team USA has been giving good returns. Below figures are the annualised Internal Rates of Return (IRR) for my investments in these US stocks, inclusive dividends. IRRs would have been even better if not for the 30% withholding tax on the dividends.


GOALKEEPER

(1) Berkshire Hathaway-B (9.5%). Warren Buffet and Charlie Munger. Need to say more? Several of below companies are also held by Berkshire.

DEFENSE

(2) Johnson & Johnson (15.6%). Household products for healthcare and beauty.
  
(3) Proctor & Gamble (7.3%). Household products - toiletries, diapers, etc. We consume plenty of their products without realising it.
  
(4) Exxon Mobil (16.0%). Big oil. Almost everything that moves need it. 
  
(5) Anheuser Busch (20.6%). Beer and theme parks. But it's mostly beer. Addiction.

MIDFIELD

(6) Wells Fargo (26.0%). Big Bank USA. Essential function for a working economy.
  
(7) McDonalds (9.8%). Junk food USA. Kids just love it, dunno why. Struggling of late from menu complexity, and competition from more fashionable competitors.
  
(8) Walmart (-1.7%). Low cost supermarket and departmental store. Has mass market appeal for the price conscious.
  
(9) Union Pacific (12.5%). Railways and long haul cargo via land.

FORWARD

(10) IBM (4.5%). Information technology - Big Data and Data Analytics. Buzzwords of the decade. Still waiting for Dr Watson to make an impact.

(11) Philip Morris (15.0%). Cigarettes. Global addiction, big time.

RESERVE

(12) Chevron (0.6%). Another big oil, similar to but smaller than Exxon Mobil.

(13) Target (29.1%). Another departmental store, similar to Walmart. I prefer to shop at Target though.
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Interesting contrasts over the performance of Walmart compared to Target, and likewise between Exxon and Chevron. Big oil has of course suffered in recent months. But perhaps gradual recovery in sight. Sounds like an opportunity to continue buying more. Target has done better as I bought at its throes of poor performance over its Canadian fiasco which it subsequently exited.

Many of the companies derive much of their revenues from the global market and continue to thrive, in general. Don't think there will be any significant changes I need to make to this team.

I'm keenly watching a few players to bring on board. Maybe Disney and Visa?

Related:
A US team of dividend stocks

Disclaimer: 
By no means a suggestion to buy any of these stocks. I bought them at different times and have owned most of them for a few years as my approach is generally one of "buy and hold".

02 June 2015

Boustead Project - Is this multi-bagger for real?

Boustead is one of the key players on my team of dividends stock. Recently on 24 Apr 2015, it spawned off a new player called Boustead Projects by introducing this stock on the SGX issued like a dividend from Boustead. Believe the technical term is "distribution of shares in specie". So it's a new specie! Hah.


As a result, I'm now a shareholder of Boustead Projects as well. The new units were issued at a value of 15.47 cents per share (Boustead Investor Central - Dividend History). Fascinatingly, its value seems to be at 90 cents now (as on 29 May 2015). It's dropping though.

That's 5.8 times its starting value (a 5-bagger), or a return of 482%! What gives?

Will it drop back to its starting value? Or is this where it should be valued at?

[Updated 7 Jun 2015]

As Raymond K subsequently shared, the distribution in specie was 3 shares of Boustead Project for 10 shares of Boustead. So, each share of Boustead Projects should in fact be valued at $0.516. So it's not a 5-bagger, but is closer to being a 2-bagger.

01 June 2015

How Can We Stretch the Interest on our Bank Savings Accounts?

DBS Multiplier

A year ago (has it been that long already?), I came across the DBS Multiplier Account that offers the opportunity for higher interest rates (~2%) from savings. A year since, I've maxed out that account. My salary, dividends and POSB/DBS credit card bills are transacted with my POSB/DBS accounts. So they all count.

I've been earning good monthly interests on the $50,000 in that account.  Any sum beyond that $50,000 however will only earn the pittance savings interest rate.

UOB One

The UOB One Account

More recently, I came across a similar offer from UOB marketed as the UOB One Account. It is a checking account as well. A minimum balance of $500 is required, else it incurs monthly charges. The wonderful thing is, it ties in with the UOB One Visa Card as well. This is a Visa Card that I already actively use (4 Ways to Reduce Spendings).


It offers two sets of rates which are tiered. In Case A, the rates are offered for card spendings of a minimum of $500 per month. It progresses on to Case B if on top of Case A, there is either (a) crediting of salary into this account, or (b) there are 3 GIRO transactions to it.

UOB One Visa Card

Account Balance in your UOB One AccountTotal Interest ATotal Interest B
First S$10,0001.00%1.50%
Next S$20,0001.50%2.00%
Next S$20,0002.00%3.33%
Above S$50,0000.05%0.05%
  [Source: UOB website]

I figured I ought to be able to able progress to Case B since I already typically spend more than $500 on my UOB One Visa Card, and it shouldn't be too difficult to set up three GIRO transactions to it as well.

Min RequirementPurchases made with UOB One CardRebate Earned
Statement date15 Aug15 Sept15 Oct15 Nov
Total minimum monthly spend tiersiS$300S$300S$300S$30
ii.S$800S$800S$800S$80
iii.S$1,500S$1,500S$1,500S$150
Minimum number of purchases per statement period.333
 [Source: UOB website]

In fact, as illustrated in the above example, the UOB One Visa Card itself comes with up to 3.33% rebate on credit card bills so as long as the monthly spending threshold is met for all 3 months of that quarter, with at least 3 transactions per month.

Opening An Account

I happened to past by a UOB Branch last week. It was surprisingly empty. So I decided to walk in and open up an account. After getting a service ticket, I was immediately served by a friendly (they usually are) Customer Service Officer. I told you it was empty!

I got my account setup within 30 minutes. All I needed was my NRIC Identity Card and $500. Perhaps it was simplified because I am already an existing UOB customer - I already have their ATM card, Internet Banking account and the UOB One Visa credit card. Quite a breeze.

Savings & Spendings Benefits

If I successfully max this out, it would generate $150 + $400 + $666 = $1,216 a year on a capital of $50,000. An effective interest rate of 2.4%. That's $100+ a month.

And if also spend $1,500 per month on the UOB One Visa Card, that would be a total rebate of $150 x 4 = $600. That's another $50 per month.

Onward to build up the second tranche of $50,000 cash savings!

p/s: Are there better deals worth the while?