While the STI never quite hit the official 20% bear territory, it was pretty close, reaching -19.9%? A 0.1% difference is perhaps just a technicality. Many stocks reached their low point that day.
I thought it might be interesting to see how a portfolio made up of these 8 stocks would fare over time. I assumed that a reasonable investor wouldn't have caught the lowest point to buy, but would have delayed a few days to watch how things unfolded before jumping in.
So, taking reference from the prices a few days later on 28 Aug 2015, here's how a $100,000 portfolio would look like for this portfolio of 8. No REITs nor business trusts. But the 8 are broadly diversified.
Stock
|
Number of Shares
|
28 Aug 2015
|
Dividend Yield
|
Price to Book ratio
|
OCBC |
1,300
|
$9.280
|
4.03%
|
1.1
|
Keppel |
1,700
|
$7.200
|
7.02%
|
1.15
|
M1 |
4,200
|
$2.920
|
6.43%
|
7.08
|
Boustead |
14,600
|
$0.855
|
4.73%
|
1.46
|
Kingsmen |
15,200
|
$0.820
|
4.43%
|
1.59
|
VICOM |
2,100
|
$6.000
|
2.93%
|
3.82
|
HourGlass |
17,000
|
$0.735
|
3.06%
|
1.23
|
GKGoh |
14,900
|
$0.840
|
4.73%
|
0.73
|
In working out the above, I did not take into account transaction fees. The number of shares were based on approximately $12,500 for each stock, rounded to the minimum lot size of 100. With that, the whole portfolio would have cost $99,126. I guess if transaction costs had been factored in, it would have come close to $100,000 anyway.
Let's see how this fares over the next few years with a buy and hold strategy.
--
1 Sep 2015 ...
I forgot to indicate the dividend yield and their price-to-book (P/B) ratio of the stock previously. So I have updated into the above table, but these are based on the data on 1 Sep 2015.
These are all dividend yielding stocks, and mostly with P/B below 2.0. The exceptions were M1 and VICOM which had much higher P/B. These probably reflect the premium that M1 commands as a Telco and likewise VICOM in their vehicle inspection role.
I'm drawing inspiration from Teh Hooi Ling's article where she mentioned a finding from historical analysis that stocks with a healthy dividend yield over P/B ratio tended to perform better over time.
--
31 Oct 2015 ...
The data for M1 was amended due to earlier error. Changes are highlighted in yellow.
Let's see how this fares over the next few years with a buy and hold strategy.
--
1 Sep 2015 ...
I forgot to indicate the dividend yield and their price-to-book (P/B) ratio of the stock previously. So I have updated into the above table, but these are based on the data on 1 Sep 2015.
These are all dividend yielding stocks, and mostly with P/B below 2.0. The exceptions were M1 and VICOM which had much higher P/B. These probably reflect the premium that M1 commands as a Telco and likewise VICOM in their vehicle inspection role.
I'm drawing inspiration from Teh Hooi Ling's article where she mentioned a finding from historical analysis that stocks with a healthy dividend yield over P/B ratio tended to perform better over time.
--
31 Oct 2015 ...
The data for M1 was amended due to earlier error. Changes are highlighted in yellow.
4 comments:
Lizardo,
Interesting. U owned all the 8 counters? U managed to get most of then during the 2 days window?
Sillyinvestor,
I do own all the 8 counters. Only managed to get more of some of them, not all. Wish I could have. How about you?
Hi Lazardo,
Before the black Monday, I did ask my wife to buy MIT, STE, SSC
I only get Accordia trust.
SGX stock investors can follow Singapore stock recommendations for doing trade in sg market.
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